Gator Bowl: Michigan Wolverines (7-5) vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs (8-4)
Where: EverBank Field, Jacksonville, Florida
When: Jan. 1st, 2011 at 1:30 pm EST
TV: ESPN 2
NCAAF Betting Lines
Michigan Wolverines +4 ½ -110 O 59 ½ -110
Mississippi State Bulldogs -4 ½ -110 U 59 ½ -110
The Wolverines’ offense, although exciting, is dependent too much on the legs of QB Denard Robinson and not his arm. Robinson did pass for over 2,000 yards this season, but he doesn’t have the touch on the ball needed to get it downfield without getting it picked off or knocked down before it reaches the receiver.Robinson alone cannot beat the Mississippi State defense. Although Michigan’s offense averaged 34.3 points per game this season, the offense failed to score more than 28 points in any one of their final 3 regular season games. Mississippi State’s defense is one of the reasons why the Bulldogs are such a solid bet to cover the football bowl game odds spread in the sportsbook for the Gator Bowl.
The Miss State D ended up allowing only 20.3 points per game on average. Although the Bulldogs lost 2 out of their last 3 games straight up, they did hold Auburn to only 17 points in a 14 to 17 loss as 1-point dogs early in the season. The D also held Florida to only 7 points in a 10 to 7 victory.
More importantly, for sports betting purposes versus the Wolverines, the Bulldogs scored 30 points or more in their final 2 regular season games. What it means is that Mississippi State actually can play some offense.There’s just no other way to cut it. The Michigan Wolverines aren’t a horrible team but they’re not on the level of Mississippi State. The Bulldogs should cover the spread in the Gator Bowl on January 1st.
SEC Football Online Betting Pick: Mississippi State Bulldogs -4 ½ -110